Market Dip: -20%
How to think about major market dips and when to be concerned.
chances are, if you're not in btc, you might be down -20% or more right now from what we just became comfortable with
do we blame trump? do we blame deepseek?
ultimately, it doesn't matter.
what matters is what you do next in a situation like this
every larger dip can be a sign, a warning, a catalyst of the cycle ending.
the truth of the matter is that we have gone from 1.1T total crypto cap in sept 2023 -> up to 3.5T right now (peaking even at 3.9T)
there will be a day like this, when the cycle does end.
-20%, on top of -20%, on top of -20%, on top of -20%. do I sell? but it's already down -60%!... and then it goes down -20% further. and further...
are you prepared for that? you know the music stops one day, so it's days like this when you have to make the hardest calls.
alas.
my call is that today is not that day.
today is a sign of temporary weakness. it's a moment of short-term fear, which will be scooped by longer term players.
all of this is ultimately good. good for our long-term assets, BTC, SOL.
but however much you're bleeding today, take a lesson from this.
there will be a day, when the dip is more than just a dip. it'll be a slaughter. i hope you'll play it well then.
my positions:
- SOL derisked a portion at $250, looking for re-entry
- BTC positions unchanged
- exited from most SOL memes/tokens several weeks back